Prepare, don't predict

This is the last AEP session (fifth workshop). It has been quite enriching getting to learn through comparisons as well as imageries as share in the 'prototype' slides.

With quite an exciting topic, Ms Kuik Shiaoyin shared about why predictions are not helpful for serious matters. One of the reasons is because of confirmation biases.

So how could one prepare for an unpredictable future? Bring a map of guiding principlies/heuristics (rather than a crystal ball). This would help gain clarity although not certainty. 

Apparently, according to Ms Kuik, civil servants love scenario planning and she went on to share some ways in which is is done and how it could be applied to one's life too. To me, it looks like the storyboarding process to plan out a choose your own adventure game with all the branches to be considered.

I suppose it is worth spending some time to reflect on my own future decisions in an objective and rational way. One should also note that there are cycles; ups and downs which may affect one's life and maybe ebyond one's control.

As 'Singapore suffers from a lack of imagination', perhaps it is worth reading reports and sites like these. 

from PWC

from BCG

There's some models shared which piqued my interest further about innovation and timing (early entrance into markets/tech adoption). Geoffrey Moore and Evertt Rogers' charts and classifications are seen below and I hope that I am closer to the 1st 15% of EdTech innovation.

I feel wiser after these five workshops and although I may never (never say never) work for TTC/NYC/GIC in the future, I believe that they are great organisations with strong values and culture fundamental to achieve success in this complex world with wicked problems. (Think pain points and passion points)